How to Pick a Winner…

Last month’s article focused on the cost of inertia and the danger of leaving money in investment funds that provide unsatisfactory performance. This time round, we suggest how you can identify a better home for your money.

How important is it for a fund to clearly set out its objectives?
I think it is crucial, there should be no ambiguity as this could allow a fund manager to stray beyond their expertise.

Furthermore, if you are constructing a complex portfolio the remit of the fund must match your requirements. For instance if you want exposure to one geographical area, say Latin America, a more generalist emerging market fund might not, over the long term, satisfy this requirement. The fund may have a high Latin American exposure when you initially invest but there could be a change of direction further down the road if, for instance, the manager pulls out of the region and instead becomes heavily exposed to Asia.

Should investors look for consistency of performance over a meaningful period rather than a snapshot of one or two stellar years?
Absolutely, consistency of performance over a meaningful period is a good way to gauge competence. Cumulative performance figures can be misleading as you could have a fund which shows a strong 10-year return but all of that return could have materialised in one 12-month period and therefore flatter 9 poor years. Ideally you want to identify a fund that is better than average within its peer group over a number of consecutive years.

Is there a benefit in understanding a bit about the company you are entrusting your money to?
It is important to be clear about how important fund management is to the company. Companies that only manage money don’t have other distractions. Success depends on whether they are able to deliver good returns. Consequently they have little option but to commit resources to research and analysis.

Ultimately, for a fund to perform well consistently it needs a dedicated group of high calibre people to run it. In any organisation there is competition for resources and if fund management is only one part of a company’s business, there is always a risk that money and people will be allocated to other areas.

You often hear the terms ‘star managers’ and ‘investment gurus’. Are these titles always justified and should investors pick funds based on the person at the helm?
I am wary of these labels. You do often hear the term ‘star managers’ but sometimes these ‘stars’ perform well because of the strength of the research team around them. If you take the manager away from this support structure they can often struggle. It is therefore dangerous to blindly ‘follow’ a manager as there are no guarantees that he or she can replicate good performance when they move to a competitor.

Success is not just about individual flair. It is quality of information that gives fund managers the edge and this quality of information depends on having the people and resources in place. The successful fund managers tend to enjoy better access to the boardrooms of the companies in which they invest (usually because they are significant shareholders); this is a distinct advantage as they are able to look beyond the hard numbers in an annual report.

Presumably if you are paying for active fund management, you want a fund manager that invests with conviction and is not interested in hugging a benchmark?
As far as investment style is concerned it is important to be sure that you are getting what you pay for. Very active funds tend to have higher running costs. Investors looking for genuine active management should look for a fund that is prepared to be contrarian and follow its own ideas rather than those of the herd. Beware of paying fees for active management and only receiving only a passive experience.

For some funds it would appear to be more important not to be bottom of the table than to be at the top. This is a dangerous philosophy as it means managers are not coming up with new ideas, instead they are just following the index (or what their peers are doing).

Most good funds allow managers the flexibility to manage in their own way; by this I mean the manager’s bold investment ideas are not always vetoed by the risk management department. An experienced IFA will know which companies put unfair constraints on managers and effectively put a brake on entrepreneurial activity.

Should investors identify what a fund management company’s core strengths are?
Yes, I think they should. There are lots of ‘me too’ funds, funds which are launched simply because a particular investment theme or objective is in vogue, not because the management company has any specific expertise. Slick marketing is all very well but if it is not backed up with resources and a serious intent, the fund will probably never amount to much.

Be the First to Know

Submit your email address below to receive exclusive insights and financial market commentary from our CEO, Simon Lewis. Stay informed and get strategic guidance to help you make confident financial decisions. Delivered straight to your inbox.

You might also be interested in...

Financial Market Commentary – Review of First Quarter 2026 and Outlook

Simon provides a review of how PMW portfolios performed during the first quarter of 2026 and delivers some insights into the immediate economic impact of war in the Middle East.

Financial Market Commentary – Review of 2025 and Outlook for 2026

Simon provides a review of how global financial markets fared during the course of 2025 and reports on a positive outcome for PMW clients.

Financial Market Commentary – Review of 3rd Quarter 2025 and Outlook

Simon Lewis, CEO of Partridge Muir & Warren, reviews the third quarter of 2025, and reflects on the recovery in financial markets following the volatility endured during the first half
Arrange complimentary consultation

Once we have assessed your needs we will arrange an initial meeting at our offices in Esher, Surrey. We can also offer a virtual meeting if this is your preference. The meeting will be with one of our Chartered Financial Planners and will be at our expense (you will not be charged). The purpose of the meeting will be to discuss your circumstances and objectives and understand what we can do to help. Advice will not be provided at your first meeting, although if we believe we can help you to achieve your objectives we will explain your options and outline any costs.

Simply complete the form below and we will be in touch.

"*" indicates required fields

I am interested in:*
Please call me
PMW articles
Your information is held securely and is not shared with any third parties. For further information on how we use your data please read our Privacy Policy.